Reliability theory and applications to risk analysis
作者:
Ricardo O. Foschi
所属专业方向:
电力系统及其自动化
摘要:
Abstract
The performance of engineering systems is not deterministic but rather controlled by the uncertainties in the variables affecting that performance. The evaluation of the probability of non-performance can be carried out implementing methods of reliability theory. This work presents a brief discussion of these methods and their applications to four problems relevant to risk analysis of power components and systems: transmission towers, pole distribution lines, the calibration of factored equations for performance-based design, and the reliability updating of existing structures under change of service conditions.
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The performance of engineering systems is not deterministic but rather controlled by the uncertainties in the variables affecting that performance. The evaluation of the probability of non-performance can be carried out implementing methods of reliability theory. This work presents a brief discussion of these methods and their applications to four problems relevant to risk analysis of power components and systems: transmission towers, pole distribution lines, the calibration of factored equations for performance-based design, and the reliability updating of existing structures under change of service conditions.